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A new generation of counterfeit Magic: The Gathering cards is creating a major stir in the community of dedicated players and collectors. Counterfeit trading cards and games are not a new phenomenon but what makes these stand out is the quality with which they replicate authentic cards.
The potential of mass-produced counterfeit cards is certain to be of concern to Wizards of the Coast and parent company, Hasbro, for whom Magic: The Gathering is a major contributor to the bottom line. Such cards could steal away significant retail business. In fact, the recent addition of holofoil stamps to rare Magic cards is likely a response to just that continuing problem. Reports also suggest that Hasbro (which, unlike smaller game companies, has the necessary resources and expertise) is working with local authorities in China to shut down the source of these new cards.
For the active collector and investor, however, a high-volume distribution network isn’t necessary to create havoc. Counterfeits of the rare and most in-demand cards have already been found in the resale stock of local game stores and being offered on eBay. The concern is that the affect of this artificial supply on secondary market prices will be amplified by panic—buyers afraid to buy and sellers dumping cards before the market completely tanks.
Further, the secondary market is known to support many dealers and shops, and also to be an important source of cards and a financial tool for tournament players.
Will this latest challenge affect the viability of Magic: The Gathering as a product? What will be the impact on casual players, active traders, and WOTC? What do you think?
[via StarCityGames]
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As you touched on, this is a complex and multi-faceted issue. I don’t think this will have an impact on the direct magic sales, as long as WotC can keep a step ahead of the forgers. Obviously the new frames are a response to this, and should keep Magic ahead of the forgers for the next few years.
I believe the biggest harm will be done to the retailers selling singles, and the speculators. Retailers will need to somehow clean out their expensive inventory ahead of any incoming crash, and hold off until prices stabilize. Speculators holding standard cards that have come out before the new frame, will see their stock plummet. Legacy cards will not be harmed nearly as much.
This will be an exciting time.
I have a feeling that any serious fan/collector will know to how spot, or at least steer clear of counterfeits. It’s the same with any hobby that has a counterfeit factor.
The biggest issue lies with those who aren’t serious players/collectors. People going on eBay looking to purchase cheap cards for themselves, or their children. In the end it doesn’t hurt them at all, it hurts Hasbro’s bottom line.
The fear with the new cards is that an experienced player won’t, or will have a very difficult time, detecting these. If they pass some of the key tests like the bend test, the illumination test, and you can see the blue middle layer, it is going to be very hard to spot fakes.
People should be afraid of that list of published cards. I cant’ say with 100% certainty that those cards will be detected every time, even by experienced players.
The easiest way to tell the difference between these cards is to look at the “W” in “Wizards of the Coast” at the bottom of the card. The authentic ones in the photos at StarCityGames.com have four serifs at the cap-height (the top of the capital letter). The fakes have three. (The photo of the supposedly fake Polluted Delta is a real Polluted Delta — the auction seller used an authentic Polluted Delta card in the listing.)